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Trump’s Courtroom and Campaign Trail Collision is About to become a Reality
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Trump’s Courtroom and Campaign Trail Collision is About to become a Reality
Trump’s courtroom and campaign trail collision is about to become a reality
The presidential election is about to become inextricably entangled with Donald Trump’s criminal turmoil as his crushing calendar of legal obligations collides with the race to the Iowa caucuses in two weeks.
The juxtaposition of the courtroom and campaign trail will set the tone for an unprecedented White House race overshadowed by the Florida insurrectionst’s ‘s four looming criminal trials. When the first votes are cast in the Republican primary race, the country will embark on a political test that will again stretch its unity, democracy and legal institutions to the limit. Trump is leaving no doubt that he would use a second term to punish his political enemies and would likely seek to use the powers of the presidency to evade accountability for his attempt to steal the 2020 election.
The election could even see Trump, the GOP front-runner, run as a convicted felon in November, depending on the timing of his trials and if he wins the nomination. As the primary season begins for real this month, the most likely scenario in November is a tight rematch, which polls show most voters don’t want, between the ex-president and the current one.
What’s at stake in 2024
It’s only been three years since he left Washington in disgrace after refusing to accept the result of the 2020 election and whipped up a mob that attacked the US Capitol in a stunning assault on democracy. Now, Trump – who faces 91 criminal charges
The Florida Criminal Defendant rang in the New Year Monday with a wild social media post filled with falsehoods about the 2020 election and unsubstantiated accusations that President Joe Biden had committed criminal acts.
His enraged and defensive tone previewed how Trump plans to conduct the 2024 presidential race and the national ordeal ahead. He claimed on Truth Social that his successor had “attacked his Political Opponent at a level never seen before in this Country, and wants desperately to PUT ‘TRUMP’ IN PRISON. He is playing a very dangerous game, and the great people of America WILL NOT STAND FOR IT.”
Trump’s actions after the last election are at the root of why this election is sure to be so fractious – and critical to the future of the nation.
Many of the multiple legal challenges he must deal with in the next few weeks stem from his falsehoods about a stolen election and desperate attempts to cling to power by defying the will of voters. And his political use of his legal plight – including his claims that he’s being politically persecuted by the Biden administration – and his growing extremism will pollute the political atmosphere running up to the election.
His promise to devote a second presidency to “retribution” against his enemies raises the prospect of another dark period in American politics.
Time running out for Trump’s GOP rivals
Trump’s double political and legal life in the next few weeks will coincide with the intensifying effort by his Republican rivals to thwart his march toward a third consecutive Republican nomination.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has staked his campaign on an upset win in Iowa, which seems unlikely, according to polls. And former South Carolina Gov.
Nikki Haley is pushing hard for a win in New Hampshire that would grant her a ticket to a head-to-head clash with Trump elsewhere. But neither candidate has been willing to capitalize on the Twice Impeached, 4 times Indicted Florida Criminal Defendant’s legal troubles out of fear of alienating GOP base voters who have rallied to Trump’s side with every indictment and mug shot.
While voters will ultimately decide the outcome of the campaign, his rivals’ struggles suggest Trump has an even firmer grip on the party than he did in 2020. But despite his strength, he remains a high-risk general election prospect for Republicans, since his demagoguery has alienated critical swing-state voters in the past. And with his rhetoric reminiscent of 1930s dictators, he may be playing directly into Biden’s main argument that he would destroy US democracy and political freedoms.
The presidential election is about to become inextricably entangled with Donald Trump’s criminal turmoil as his crushing calendar of legal obligations collides with the race to the Iowa caucuses in two weeks.
The juxtaposition of the courtroom and campaign trail will set the tone for an unprecedented White House race overshadowed by the ex-president’s four looming criminal trials. When the first votes are cast in the Republican primary race, the country will embark on a political test that will again stretch its unity, democracy and legal institutions to the limit. Trump is leaving no doubt that he would use a second term to punish his political enemies and would likely seek to use the powers of the presidency to evade accountability for his attempt to steal the 2020 election.
The election could even see Trump, the GOP front-runner, run as a convicted felon in November, depending on the timing of his trials and if he wins the nomination. As the primary season begins for real this month, the most likely scenario in November is a tight rematch, which polls show most voters don’t want, between the ex-president and the current one.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/02/politics/trump-2024-campaign-courtroom-collision/index.html
cnn.com
Trump’s courtroom and campaign trail collision is about to become a reality | CNN Politics
The presidential election is about to become inextricably entangled with Donald Trump’s criminal turmoil as his crushing calendar of legal obligations collides with the race to the Iowa caucuses in two weeks.
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2 Replies
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Trump’s GOP primary strategy is also his courtroom defense
The new year is off to a strong start. With only two weeks before the first presidential caucuses, yet another debate for second place is in the offing and legal filings are dropping in one of Donald Trump’s several civil and criminal cases day and night. And we’re only three days into 2024. I hope everyone got themselves a good rest over the holidays because there’s going to be no time to catch your breath between now and Election Day next November. The games have officially begun.
The Republicans primaries look to be gelling exactly as predicted. The weak and tepid Trump opposition hasn’t been able to get any real traction despite hundreds of millions of dollars being spent. The race for second place is between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley but it’s clear that Trump is still the leader of the party and, as predicted, will almost certainly get the nomination.
There have been a number of articles in recent days taking a look at his campaign. The Washington Post published a long piece about how he “reignited his base and took control of the Republican primary” which ends up concluding that he never really lost the base in the first place. In fact, according to a new poll by the same paper with the University of Maryland, MAGA has not only stuck with Trump on the questions of January 6, a few who believed that he might have done something wrong at the time have now come back to his side. Still, they aren’t many. Republicans loved Trump then and they love him now.
The good news is that according to that same poll, the majority of Americans are not so enamored.
55% believe that January 6 was an attack on democracy and 56% believe that Trump is definitely or probably guilty of a crime.
Only 11% of Republicans are among them but that’s just par for the course. That majority may not be huge but it could obviously make a difference. The New York Times looked at polling over the last six months which asked if a conviction would change voters’ minds about voting for Trump and the numbers were substantial enough to change the outcome. Citing their own findings should Trump be convicted:
[T]he poll found the race in these six [swing] states would seismically shift in the aggregate: a 14-point swing, with Mr. Biden winning by 10 rather than losing by four percentage points. The same poll also provides insights into the effect a Trump conviction would have on independent and young voters, which are both pivotal demographics. Independents now go for Mr. Trump, 45 percent to 44 percent. However, if he is convicted, 53 percent of them choose Mr. Biden and only 32 percent Mr. Trump.
The movement for voters ages 18 to 29 was even greater. Mr. Biden holds a slight edge, 47 percent to 46 percent, in the poll. But after a potential conviction, Mr. Biden holds a commanding lead, 63 percent to 31 percent.
These findings were backed up by several others as well.
Acknowledging the general uselessness of these early polls to predict the outcome of the election, I think it’s fair to say that this response may actually be a pretty good gauge of the public’s attitude on this issue. Sure, Republicans don’t care.
They’re even starting to warm to the idea of Trump serving from a jail cell. But a majority of Americans still cling to the idea that the president of the United States should not be a convicted criminal.
This explains one bizarre aspect of the Trump strategy: his push to wrap up the primary quickly.
Yes, he rants daily about “deranged Jack Smith” and the other prosecutors, claiming he’s being persecuted by the deep state and whining about the unfairness of it all. That’s just him. But there is a method to his madness.
NBC News reports that Trump’s campaign believes the Jan. 6 trial was specifically timed to take him off the trail at a crucial stage so they think they’re outsmarting the prosecutors by wrapping up the primary early. (That sounds like something they told their client to make him happy…)
But Trump also wants to get the primary race out of the way so that he can legitimately claim to be the presumptive nominee and use that argument to back up his fatuous assertion that this is a political prosecution and he cannot be put on trial before the election.
That’s not going to work but I suspect he thinks it will be politically useful. For the same reason, he’s been strong-arming all the elected Republicans to publicly endorse him and according to Politico, they are being good little MAGA sycophants even though it’s obvious that many of them really don’t want to.
Trump believes that this will strengthen his argument that the criminal charges he faces are all witch trials.
https://news.yahoo.com/trumps-gop-primary-strategy-courtroom-140001430.html
news.yahoo.com
Trump's GOP primary strategy is also his courtroom defense
The risky reason why Trump wants to get the primary race out of the way
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That’s nice dear, but all the stuff you’ve promoted about Trump, that has never come to pass, false hope seems to be your thing.
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